FPLHERMESFPL points predictor · 2026/27
FPL predicted points for Gameweek 10
A free FPL points predictor: every fixture simulated 500 times to give predicted points for 671 players, with a floor, a ceiling, captain picks and differentials. Top pick this week: Ødegaard on 6.6 predicted points. Updated Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:30:05 GMT.
- GW10
- gameweek
- 6.6
- top projection
- 671
- players simulated
- 500
- sims per fixture
Captain picks — Gameweek 10
Ødegaard (ARS vs HUL) leads on 6.62 xPts, 75% chance of 60+ minutes.
- Ødegaard6.6xPts
ARS vs HUL · 75% to play 60'
floor 1.0ceiling 9.0 - Groß6.3xPts
BHA vs BRE · 85% to play 60'
floor 1.0ceiling 10.0 - Gabriel6.2xPts
ARS vs HUL · 86% to play 60'
floor 1.0ceiling 9.0 - Rúben5.3xPts
MCI @ NFO · 86% to play 60'
floor 1.0ceiling 6.0 - Rice5.3xPts
ARS vs HUL · 66% to play 60'
floor 0.0ceiling 6.0
Clean sheet odds
- Gabriel · ARS62%
- Calafiori · ARS62%
- Raya · ARS62%
- Konsa · ARS62%
- J.Timber · ARS62%
Differentials under 10% owned
- Rúben MCI · DEF · £5.5m · 2.0% owned5.34 xPts
- E.Le Fée SUN · MID · £5.7m · 2.6% owned4.88 xPts
- Wirtz LIV · MID · £7.2m · 5.2% owned4.87 xPts
- Barcola LIV · MID · £8.1m · 4.4% owned4.80 xPts
- Iwobi FUL · MID · £5.4m · 1.5% owned4.76 xPts
Who to buy — Gameweek 10 transfer targets
Most projected points per £1m among players likely to play 60+ minutes.
- Rúben DEF · MCI @ NFO · £5.5m5.34 xPts
- Bassey DEF · FUL vs NEW · £4.5m4.26 xPts
- Affengruber DEF · FUL vs NEW · £4.5m4.23 xPts
- Groß MID · BHA vs BRE · £6.3m6.30 xPts
- Ødegaard MID · ARS vs HUL · £6.7m6.62 xPts
- Iwobi MID · FUL vs NEW · £5.4m4.76 xPts
- Barry FWD · EVE vs COV · £5.7m3.91 xPts
- Zirkzee FWD · MUN vs AVL · £5.3m3.36 xPts
- Wissa FWD · NEW @ FUL · £5.9m3.45 xPts
Top 25 FPL predicted points — Gameweek 10
| Player | Fixture | £m | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ødegaard MID | ARS vs HUL | 6.7 | 6.62 |
| Groß MID | BHA vs BRE | 6.3 | 6.30 |
| Gabriel DEF | ARS vs HUL | 8.1 | 6.22 |
| Rúben DEF | MCI @ NFO | 5.5 | 5.34 |
| Rice MID | ARS vs HUL | 7.5 | 5.30 |
| B.Fernandes MID | MUN vs AVL | 11.6 | 5.08 |
| Mbeumo MID | MUN vs AVL | 7.9 | 4.89 |
| E.Le Fée MID | SUN vs CHE | 5.7 | 4.88 |
| Wirtz MID | LIV @ CRY | 7.2 | 4.87 |
| Barcola MID | LIV @ CRY | 8.1 | 4.80 |
| Iwobi MID | FUL vs NEW | 5.4 | 4.76 |
| Mac Allister MID | LIV @ CRY | 5.4 | 4.76 |
| Dewsbury-Hall MID | EVE vs COV | 6.6 | 4.75 |
| Neto MID | CHE @ SUN | 6.6 | 4.67 |
| Enciso MID | IPS vs BOU | 5.5 | 4.61 |
| Ampadu MID | LEE vs TOT | 5.3 | 4.54 |
| Garner MID | EVE vs COV | 6.0 | 4.54 |
| Cherki MID | MCI @ NFO | 7.9 | 4.53 |
| Calafiori DEF | ARS vs HUL | 5.9 | 4.48 |
| Palmer MID | CHE @ SUN | 9.8 | 4.44 |
| Tavernier MID | BOU @ IPS | 6.7 | 4.35 |
| Bassey DEF | FUL vs NEW | 4.5 | 4.26 |
| Gomez MID | BHA vs BRE | 5.0 | 4.24 |
| Affengruber DEF | FUL vs NEW | 4.5 | 4.23 |
| Raya GK | ARS vs HUL | 6.2 | 4.18 |
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start 3-day trialHow to use this FPL points predictor
Predicted points are an average over 500 simulated matches, not a promise. Use them to compare players at the same price: pick the higher predicted points for transfers, and check the floor and ceiling when choosing a captain — a high floor is the safe armband, a high ceiling is the gamble. Predictions do not yet include defensive contribution (DefCon) points. Past gameweek pages show our predicted points next to what really happened, so you can judge the predictor yourself.
How these numbers are produced
Minutes are sampled per player, team goals drawn from a Poisson process from attack and defence strength, then goals, assists, saves, cards and bonus allocated under official FPL scoring. xPts is the mean of 500 simulations; floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentiles. See the method or the FAQ.